Historical Enrollments Cohort Survival Ratios- 10 Years
 
RATIOS
Year 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Ave. Ratios Each class can be
E.L. LB 104 104 132 133 143 139 132 137 142
115
144 141 152 162 155 133 154 132 134 traced from one
YEAR Oct-89 Oct-90 Oct-91 Oct-92 Oct-93 Oct-94 Oct-95 Oct-96 Oct-97 Oct-98 Oct-99 Oct-2000 Oct-2001 Oct-2002 Oct-2003 Oct-2004 Oct-2005 Oct-2006 Oct-2007 Recent 5 yr. grade level to the 
K (actual) 169 160 150 174 176 178 168 165 159 190 137 176 164 183 174 173 176 185 183 P.Factors next succeeding 
K:B 1.6250 1.5385 1.1364 1.3083 1.2308 1.2806 1.2727 1.2044 1.1197 1.6522 0.9514 1.2482 1.0789 1.1296 1.1226 1.3008 1.1429 1.4015 1.3657 1.2667 grade level.
1 176 193 190 192 202 197 221 190 193 185 202 167 192 177 211 196 201 190 205  
1:K 1.1420 1.1875 1.2800 1.1609 1.1193 1.2416 1.1310 1.1697 1.1635 1.0632 1.2190 1.0909 1.0793 1.1530 1.1264 1.1618 1.0795 1.1081 1.1258 The cohort survival
2 170 176 199 196 190 202 197 214 189 187 187 204 163 197 188 207 208 207 205   ratio is then 
2:1 1.0000 1.0311 1.0316 0.9896 1.0000 1.0000 0.9683 0.9947 0.9689 1.0108 1.0099 0.9760 1.0260 1.0621 0.9810 1.0612 1.0299 1.0789 1.0426 derived.
3 184 174 185 203 202 196 200 202 230 200 182 189 210 186 206 194 199 214 220  
3:2 1.0235 1.0511 1.0201 1.0306 1.0316 0.9901 1.0254 1.0748 1.0582 0.9733 1.0107 1.0294 1.1411 1.0457 1.0319 0.9614 1.0288 1.0628 1.0261 The five most recent
4 197 183 180 196 204 201 194 201 195 225 193 193 196 213 187 204 204 213 223   year survival ratios
4:3 0.9946 1.0345 1.0595 1.0049 0.9950 0.9898 1.0050 0.9653 0.9783 0.9650 1.0604 1.0370 1.0143 1.0054 0.9903 1.0515 1.0704 1.0421 1.0319 are averaged to 
5 190 194 186 197 192 203 196 198 216 195 224 205 196 202 215 204 215 209 214   determine the 
5:4 0.9848 1.0164 1.0944 0.9796 0.9951 0.9751 1.0206 1.0746 1.0000 0.9956 1.0622 1.0155 1.0306 1.0094 1.0909 1.0539 1.0245 1.0047 1.0367 progression factor
6 154 152 203 205 202 192 210 194 202 206 193 227 224 201 222 227 210 220 221   to be used.
6:5 0.8000 1.0464 1.1022 1.0254 1.0000 1.0345 0.9898 1.0202 0.9537 0.9897 1.0134 1.0927 1.0255 1.0990 1.0558 1.0294 1.0233 1.0574 1.0530
7 165 154 193 213 208 192 186 210 189 194 207 196 234 220 217 228 231 225 226  
7:6 1.0000 1.2697 1.0493 1.0146 0.9505 0.9688 1.0000 0.9742 0.9604 1.0049 1.0155 1.0308 0.9821 1.0796 1.0270 1.0176 1.0714 1.0273 1.0446
8 154 167 159 199 208 202 190 191 197 187 195 212 203 236 220 214 238 245 227  
8:7 1.0121 1.0325 1.0311 0.9765 0.9712 0.9896 1.0269 0.9381 0.9894 1.0052 1.0242 1.0357 1.0085 1.0000 0.9862 1.0439 1.0606 1.0089 1.0199
 9 160 170 179 173 200 209 217 199 216 242 215 221 235 223 252 238 241 256 247  
9:8 1.1039 1.0719 1.0881 1.0050 1.0048 1.0743 1.0474 1.1309 1.2284 1.1497 1.1333 1.1085 1.0985 1.0678 1.0818 1.1262 1.0756 1.0082 1.0719
10 156 152 168 179 172 194 218 220 207 193 209 210 207 228 217 245 238 241 242  
10:9 0.9500 0.9882 1.0000 0.9942 0.9700 1.0431 1.0138 1.0402 0.8935 0.8636 0.9767 0.9367 0.9702 0.9731 0.9722 1.0000 1.0000 0.9453 0.9781
11 135 151 152 168 165 164 190 209 210 196 194 198 191 207 230 205 239 233 237  
11:10   0.9679 1.0000 1.0000 0.9218 0.9535 0.9794 0.9587 0.9545 0.9469 1.0052 0.9474 0.9095 1.0000 1.0088 0.9447 0.9755 0.9790 0.9834 0.9783
12 159 138 144 142 160 161 161 184 202 198 182 186 187 190 198 220 189 229 244  
12:11   1.0222 0.9536 0.9342 0.9524 0.9758 0.9817 0.9684 0.9665 0.9429 0.9286 0.9588 0.9444 0.9948 0.9565 0.9565 0.9220 0.9582 1.0472 0.9681
K-5 1086 1080 1090 1158 1166 1177 1176 1170 1182 1182 1125 1134 1121 1158 1181 1178 1203 1218 1250
6-8 473 473 555 617 618 586 586 595 588 587 595 635 661 657 659 669 679 690 674
9-12 610 611 643 662 697 728 786 812 835 829 800 815 820 848 897 908 907 959 970
Add PK: 50 42 39 46 55 52 49 52 49 48 47
K-12 2169 2164 2288 2437 2481 2491 2548 2577 2655 2640 2559 2630 2657 2715 2786 2807 2838 2915 2941 pg 4