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Comparison Of E.L. Live
Births To Kindergarten Enrollment |
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Projecting Kindergarten
from births: |
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Actual Births |
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Actual Kindergarten |
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B-YEAR |
E.L.BIRTHS |
K-YEAR |
KINDERG. |
% Increase |
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2 Progression Factors: |
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1997 |
162 |
2002 |
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13% |
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Actuals: |
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1998 |
155 |
2003 |
174 |
12% |
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5 year average |
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1999 |
133 |
2004 |
173 |
30% |
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of actual Kindergarten |
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2000 |
154 |
2005 |
176 |
14% |
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enrollments. |
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2001 |
132 |
2006 |
185 |
40% |
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5 YR AVE. |
147 |
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178 |
22% |
Low Proj. |
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Projections: |
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Actual
Births |
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Projected Kindergarten |
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Actual births X |
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2002 |
134 |
2007 |
163 |
22% |
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5 year average increase. |
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2003 |
146 |
2008 |
178 |
22% |
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This
is used in school |
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2004 |
161 |
2009 |
196 |
22% |
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districts showing aggressive growth. |
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2005 |
n/a |
n/a |
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22% |
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2006 |
n/a |
n/a |
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22% |
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AVERG |
147 |
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179 |
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High Proj |
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Results: |
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Two
different ways of predicting kindergarten enrollment. |
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By using 2 ways, one can obtain
"actual" and "projected" formula variables for predicting
enrollments. |
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For every 100 births in East
Longmeadow, by the time they enroll in kindergarten (age 5) we |
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enroll 117 kindergarten students due
to town growth and migration. |
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pg 3 |
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